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元ちゃんのお天気予測

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成28年冬

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成28年秋

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成28年夏

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成28年春

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成27年冬

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成27年秋

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成27年夏

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気平成27年春

 

元ちゃんの今年の天気「冬」

旧暦:神無月一日~師走三十日 

新暦:平成26年11月22日平成27年2月18日

元ちゃんの旧暦予想「冬」 穏寒燈月(冬おだやかに灯る月)

元ちゃんの旧暦予想「春」 序寒観梅(始まり遅い梅観かな)

元ちゃんの今年の天気「冬」


元ちゃんの今年の天気 「春」

旧暦 : 睦月一日~弥生廿九日 新暦 : 平成26年1月31日~平成26年4月28日

1. 元ちゃんの旧暦予想 「春」 

温 夜 朧 月 (温む春夜に朧月)
1月31日(新暦)から平成26年の春が始まります。
標準新暦と比べて5日程早いスタートです。と言うことは、春の訪れは、いつもの年より早いでしょう。ジャガイモの植付けを始め、春の種まきはお早めに…。
そして、平成26年(新暦)の春は、“暖かな春”と予想します。
本格的な暖かさは、3月1日(新暦)頃から。
(写真:睦月十七日<新暦2月16日>:雪の畑で大根収穫)

 

2.今年の 「春」

季節事象 観測日(新暦) 観測日(旧暦) 平年差
うぐいすの初鳴(銚子) 3/17 如月十七日 +21
春一番(関東) 3/18 如月十八日 +20
ソメイヨシノの開花日(銚子) 3/29 如月廿九日 -2
ツバメの初見日(銚子) 4/2 弥生三日 +1
ソメイヨシノの満開(銚子) 4/4 弥生五日 -4

 

今年は、「暖かさと寒さが乱高下する“春”」とでも言いましょうか…

スタート直後(新暦1月下旬~2月上旬)はかなり暖かくなり、春本番突入かと思っていたら一転寒くなり、太平洋側では2度の大雪に見舞われました(関東甲信地方を中心に記録的な大雪となりました)。いわゆる南岸低気圧のせいですな。新暦2月下旬から3月上旬にかけては、また暖かくなったものの、その後は、寒さが戻りました。次に暖かくなったのは新暦3月中旬以降。南から流れ込んだ暖かい空気の影響で、かなり高温となりました。この結果、ソメイヨシノは早めに開花しました。新暦4月は暖かかったり、寒かったりと結果ほぼ平年並みの気温。この春の予想に対する評価は…うーん難しい…


 

【元ちゃんの観測日記 「桜(その2)」】 ~野田市花井のソメイヨシノ~

開   花 : 新暦3月26日     旧暦  如月 廿六日

満    開 : 新暦3月 31日     旧暦  弥生  一日

散り終わり: 新暦4月 16日     旧暦  弥生 十七日


 

3. 元ちゃんの 「春」 

旧暦正月 初日の出
睦月一日(26/1/31)
大雪
睦月十六日(26/2/15)
朝の幻日
睦月廿日(26/2/19)
江戸川のノジスミレ
弥生六日(26/4/5)

 

 

4. 元ちゃんの旧暦予想 「夏」 新暦26.4.29~26.7.26

炎 天 涼 月  (炎天夏には月涼み)
4月29日(新暦)から夏です。標準旧暦と比べて8日も早くなっていますから、夏の訪れは早いでしょう。どんどん季節は前倒しで進んでいきます。
暦上の入梅は、標準旧暦より9日早い五月十三日(新暦6月10日)。これまた早い梅雨入りと予想します。
夏の終わりは7月26日(新暦)。本格的な暑さは5月29日(新暦)頃からで、平成26年(新暦)は“暑い夏”となるでしょう。

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